A year ago, the Ghana Football Association announced former captain Charles Kwabla Akonnor as Black stars head coach replacing James Kwesi Appiah.
There was a division of opinions of the General public but as it’s always said for any decision only time is the best judge
The first task is for him to win the 2022 African cup nations, especially after the president of the republic Nana Addo Danquah personally solicited funds to the tune of $25 million for the Black Stars.
After a little over 12 months in charge ‘CK’ who is on a $35000 a month, salary has played four friendly games, 4 competitive games.
We take a look at the scientific analysis that will give every Ghana a fair idea as to whether ‘CK’ can win the AFCON 2022
Since C.K.’s first game against Mali, Ghana has played 4 teams they likely consider their peers: Mali, Morocco, Côte D’Ivoire & South Africa (latter are a peer at a push). The metrics don’t make for very pretty reading, albeit in a noisy sample size
Ghana has scored 1 goal, about par given they have 0.84 Expected Goals (xG) across the four games – averaging 0.20 xG per 90. Their opponents have scored 5 goals, again about par given their xG of 4.18 across the four games – averaging 1.00 xG per 90. (2/11)
Ghana are averaging 5.03 shots/90 across that span, with their opponents averaging 7.9 shots/90. However, Ghana are averaging just 4.79 touches in the box per 90, their opponents 11.01. This has led to 66.67% of Ghana’s shots being long range, vs 36.36% of their opponents’ (3/11)
Therefore, Ghana are getting fewer shots of lower quality than their opponents – 0.04 xG/shot for Ghana vs 0.13 xG/shot for their opponents. Average shot distance is 22.94m from goal, opponents are averaging 17.40m (4/11)
Can we pinpoint why in the event data? Not exactly, because the event data doesn’t include various things that are important, but there are indicators of their various struggles – the why is something that video will help with (5/11)
Ghana are struggling to retain possession in the final third compared to their opponents – averaging 2.15 deep completed passes/90 compared to 4.55 for their opponents (6/11)
They are also struggling to pass forwards compared to their opponents. They average fewer forward passes/90 (114.89 vs 132.61), progressive passes/90 (48.35 vs 63.67) & passes to the final third (40.21 vs 48.83) than their opponents & are notably less accurate as well. (7/11)
Ghana’s forward pass accuracy has been 70.21%, opponents have averaged 75.81%. Passes to the final third? 54.76% accurate for Ghana, 71.57% for opponents. Progressive passes? 69.31% for Ghana, 75.94% for their opponents (8/11)
So Ghana are struggling to get the ball from their defensive third forwards & are really struggling to get into the penalty area. They are resorting to long balls to progress more as a result – averaging 12.29% compared to 10.41% for opponents. (9/11)
Set pieces are not picking up the slack either. Only 1% of Ghana’s set pieces have ended with a shot, compared to 8% for opponents. Not one of Ghana’s 10 corners has ended with a shot, compared to 54% of their opponents’ (10/11)
It was probably clear to many already… but some statistical evidence of Ghana’s broad offensive issues. Personnel, player familiarity & cohesion, tactics all need to be looked at. There were flashes yesterday, but after 8 games, better is clearly needed (11/11 END).
Credit: Scott Geelan